Trade, openness and domestic conflict: an empirical investigation for latin America

Bhattacharya, Prasad and Thomakos, Dimitrios 2005, Trade, openness and domestic conflict: an empirical investigation for latin America, in ACE 05 : Proceedings of the Australian Conference of Economists 2005, Blackwell Publishing Asia, Carlton, Vic., pp. 1-48.

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Title Trade, openness and domestic conflict: an empirical investigation for latin America
Author(s) Bhattacharya, Prasad
Thomakos, Dimitrios
Conference name Australian Conference of Economists (34th : 2005: Melbourne, Vic.)
Conference location University of Melbourne, Melbourne
Conference dates 26-28 September 2005
Title of proceedings ACE 05 : Proceedings of the Australian Conference of Economists 2005
Editor(s) Dixon, Robert
Freebairn, John
Griffiths, Bill
Publication date 2005
Conference series Australian Conference of Economists
Start page 1
End page 48
Publisher Blackwell Publishing Asia
Place of publication Carlton, Vic.
Keyword(s) trade openness
domestic conflict
ordinal regression
markov switching
proportional hazard model
Latin America
Summary This paper explores whether there is an empirical relationship between trade, openness and domestic conflict for Latin America based on the analytical framework of Garfinkel, Skaperdas and Syropoulos (2004). Using ordinal regressions and Markov switching models for seventeen countries, we identify the factors responsible for the initiation and sustenance of domestic conflict. Our overall results suggest that: (i) increased trade openness reduces domestic conflict intensities but (ii) over dependence on agricultural exports, along with poor socio-political performance, lead to sustenance of low intensity conflicts. We also analyze conflict duration using proportional hazard models and find that over-reliance on agricultural exports plays the main role in conflict sustenance after controlling for socio-political factors.
ISBN 0734026080
9780734026088
Language eng
Field of Research 140399 Econometrics not elsewhere classified
HERDC Research category E1 Full written paper - refereed
ERA Research output type E Conference publication
Persistent URL http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30005660

Document type: Conference Paper
Collection: School of Accounting, Economics and Finance
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