Predicting timely doctoral completions : an institutional case study of 2000-2005 doctoral graduates

Rodwell, John and Neumann, Ruth 2009, Predicting timely doctoral completions : an institutional case study of 2000-2005 doctoral graduates, in AAIR 2007 : Change, Evidence and Implementation: Improving higher education in uncertain times, Australasian Association for Institutional Research, Floreat, W.A., pp. 1-10.

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Title Predicting timely doctoral completions : an institutional case study of 2000-2005 doctoral graduates
Author(s) Rodwell, John
Neumann, Ruth
Conference name Australasian Association for Institutional Research Conference (2007 : Sydney, New South Wales)
Conference location Sydney, N.S.W.
Conference dates 2007
Title of proceedings AAIR 2007 : Change, Evidence and Implementation: Improving higher education in uncertain times
Editor(s) [Unknown]
Publication date 2009
Conference series Australasian Association for Institutional Research Conference
Start page 1
End page 10
Publisher Australasian Association for Institutional Research
Place of publication Floreat, W.A.
Summary Federal government changes to the funding of doctoral students have focussed the attention of university management on their completion rates. The aims are to inform the allocation of institutional resources in a manner that improves the likelihood of timely doctoral completions and to highlight a process that can also be used for analyses of other key indicators of progression and attrition. The analyses and model development used national data readily available to all universities, which is collected in a standard approach through the Graduate Destinations Survey (GDS). The findings show that the most important variable for timely completion was attendance (full‐ versus part‐time), where in terms of full‐time equivalent (FTE) years of study, part‐time students were far more likely to complete quickly than full‐time students. For the full‐time students the key predictors of timely completion were residency, field of study and English‐speaking background (ESB). The timeliness of part‐time students was predicted by field of study and ESB. This study confirms that there is considerable variation by discipline for timely doctoral completions. The pragmatic application and prospective test of the derived models present a variety of opportunities for research student administrators. For example, those full‐time students scoring highly represented a concentration of timely graduates more than 7.5 times higher than the lowest‐scoring group – almost an order of magnitude of difference. In short, university management could gain tremendous value from more widely using the data available.
Language eng
Field of Research 139999 Education not elsewhere classified
HERDC Research category E1.1 Full written paper - refereed
Copyright notice ©2007, AAIR
Persistent URL http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30016753

Document type: Conference Paper
Collection: Deakin Graduate School of Business
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