Modeling the relationship between budget deficits, money supply and inflation in Fiji
Narayan, Paresh Kumar, Narayan, Seema and Prasad, Arti Devi 2006, Modeling the relationship between budget deficits, money supply and inflation in Fiji, Pacific economic bulletin, vol. 21, no. 2, pp. 103-116.
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Title
Modeling the relationship between budget deficits, money supply and inflation in Fiji
National Centre for Development Studies, Australian National University
Place of publication
Canberra, A. C. T.
Publication date
2006
ISSN
0817-8038 1834-9455 1832-6900
Summary
For Fiji, which has been suffering persistent deficits since independence, determining the relationships between inflation, budget deficits, money supply, output, and import prices is essential. We find that inflation, deficits and money supply are cointegrated when inflation is the endogenous variable, and the long-run elasticities confirm that money supply and deficits induce inflation. While there is a short-run, unidirectional causality running from money supply to inflation and a bi-directional causality between money supply and budget deficits, in the long run both money supply and deficits ?Granger-cause? inflation.