Cardiovascular risk prediction model development and assessment

Cui, Jisheng 2009, Cardiovascular risk prediction model development and assessment, Australasian epidemiologist, vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 12-15.

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Title Cardiovascular risk prediction model development and assessment
Author(s) Cui, Jisheng
Journal name Australasian epidemiologist
Volume number 16
Issue number 1
Start page 12
End page 15
Publisher Australasian Epidemiological Association
Place of publication Canberra, A.C.T.
Publication date 2009-04
ISSN 1327-8835
Keyword(s) Cardiovascular system -- Diseases -- Risk factors
Health risk assessment -- Evaluation
Receiver operating characteristic curves
Summary The aim of this article is to review the development and assessment of cardiovascular risk prediction models and to discuss the predictive value of a risk factor as well as to introduce new assessment methods to evaluate a risk prediction model. Many cardiovascular risk prediction models have been developed during the past three decades. However, there has not been consistent agreement regarding how to appropriately assess a risk prediction model, especially when new markers are added to an existing model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve has traditionally been used to assess the discriminatory ability of a risk prediction model. However, recent studies suggest that this method has its limitations and cannot be the sole approach to evaluate the usefulness of a new marker. New assessment methods are being developed to appropriately assess a risk prediction model and they will be gradually used in clinical and epidemiological studies.
Language eng
Field of Research 111706 Epidemiology
Socio Economic Objective 920203 Diagnostic Methods
HERDC Research category C1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal
ERA Research output type C Journal article
HERDC collection year 2009
Copyright notice ©2009, Australasian Epidemiological Association
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Created: Tue, 08 Sep 2009, 12:50:07 EST by Deborah Wittahatchy

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