Examining the relationship between trade balance and exchange rate : the case of China's trade with the USA
Narayan, Paresh Kumar 2006, Examining the relationship between trade balance and exchange rate : the case of China's trade with the USA, Applied economics letters, vol. 13, no. 8, pp. 507-510.
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Examining the relationship between trade balance and exchange rate : the case of China's trade with the USA
In this paper, we investigate the nexus between China's trade balance and the real exchange rate vis-à-vis the USA. Using the bounds testing approach to cointegration, we find evidence that China's trade balance and real exchange rate vis-à-vis the USA are cointegrated, and using the autoregressive distributed lag model we find that in both the short run and the long run a real devaluation of the Chinese RMB improves the trade balance; as a result, there is no evidence of a J-curve type adjustment.
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eng
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140210 International Economics and International Finance