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Assessing risk for sexual offenders in New Zealand : development and validation of a computer-scored risk measure

Skelton, Alexander, Riley, David, Wales, David and Vess, James 2006, Assessing risk for sexual offenders in New Zealand : development and validation of a computer-scored risk measure, Journal of sexual aggression, vol. 12, no. 3, pp. 277-286, doi: 10.1080/13552600601100326.

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Title Assessing risk for sexual offenders in New Zealand : development and validation of a computer-scored risk measure
Author(s) Skelton, Alexander
Riley, David
Wales, David
Vess, James
Journal name Journal of sexual aggression
Volume number 12
Issue number 3
Start page 277
End page 286
Publisher Whiting and Birch
Place of publication London, England
Publication date 2006-11
ISSN 1355-2600
1742-6545
Keyword(s) sexual offenders
risk assessment
static variables
sexual recidivism
Summary A growing research base supports the predictive validity of actuarial methods of risk assessment with sexual offenders. These methods use clearly defined variables with demonstrated empirical association with re-offending. The advantages of actuarial measures for screening large numbers of offenders quickly and economically are further enhanced when the variables used can be extracted from existing electronic databases. This study reports the results of applying a computerized set of historical variables with a sample of 1,133 male sexual offenders released from prison by the New Zealand Department of Corrections. Area under the curve figures of 0.70-0.78 were obtained over periods of 5 to 15 years, reflecting a significant level of association with sexual recidivism. Detected rates of re-offending across risk levels were comparable to those previously reported for the Static-99. Rates of sexual re-offending by child molesters for all sexual offences and offences against child victims are reported separately.
Language eng
DOI 10.1080/13552600601100326
Field of Research 170110 Psychological Methodology, Design and Analysis
HERDC Research category C1.1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal
Copyright notice ©2006, Routledge
Persistent URL http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30019524

Document type: Journal Article
Collection: School of Psychology
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