Validation of model-based estimates (synthetic estimates) of the prevalence of risk factors for coronary heart disease for wards in England

Scarborough, Peter, Allender, Steven, Rayner, Mike and Goldacre, Michael 2009, Validation of model-based estimates (synthetic estimates) of the prevalence of risk factors for coronary heart disease for wards in England, Health and place, vol. 15, no. 2, pp. 596-605.

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Title Validation of model-based estimates (synthetic estimates) of the prevalence of risk factors for coronary heart disease for wards in England
Author(s) Scarborough, Peter
Allender, Steven
Rayner, Mike
Goldacre, Michael
Journal name Health and place
Volume number 15
Issue number 2
Start page 596
End page 605
Total pages 10
Publisher Elsevier
Place of publication Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Publication date 2009-06
ISSN 1353-8292
1873-2054
Keyword(s) synthetic estimates
validity
coronary heart disease
risk factors
smoking
fruit and vegetables
physical activity
alcohol
obesity
diabetes
hypertension
cholesterol
Summary Several sets of model-based estimates (synthetic estimates) of the prevalence of risk factors for coronary heart disease for small areas in England have been developed. These have been used in policy documents to indicate which areas are in need of intervention. In general, these models have not been subjected to validity assessment. This paper describes a validity assessment of 16 sets of synthetic estimates, by comparison of the models with national, regional and local survey-based estimates, and local mortality rate estimates. Model-based estimates of the prevalence of smoking, low fruit and vegetable consumption, obesity, hypertension and raised cholesterol are found to be valid.
Language eng
Field of Research 111799 Public Health and Health Services not elsewhere classified
Socio Economic Objective 970111 Expanding Knowledge in the Medical and Health Sciences
HERDC Research category C1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal
Copyright notice ©2008, Elsevier
Persistent URL http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30020488

Document type: Journal Article
Collection: Public Health Research, Evaluation, and Policy Cluster
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