Temporal causality and the dynamics of exports, human capital and real income in China

Narayan, Paresh Kumar and Smyth, Russell 2004, Temporal causality and the dynamics of exports, human capital and real income in China, International journal of applied economics, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 24-45.


Title Temporal causality and the dynamics of exports, human capital and real income in China
Author(s) Narayan, Paresh Kumar
Smyth, Russell
Journal name International journal of applied economics
Volume number 1
Issue number 1
Start page 24
End page 45
Total pages 21
Publisher Institute of International Economic Studies
Place of publication Hammond, La.
Publication date 2004-09
ISSN 1548-0003
Summary This article employs cointegration and error-correction modelling to test the causal relationship between real income, exports and human capital stock using data for China over the period 1960 to 1999. We find that real exports, human capital and real income are cointegrated when real exports is the dependent variable, but are not cointegrated when human capital or real income are the dependent variable. In the short-run we find evidence of bi-directional Granger causality between human capital and real exports, unidirectional Granger causality running from real income to human capital and neutrality between real exports and real income.
Language eng
Field of Research 140212 Macroeconomics (incl Monetary and Fiscal Theory)
HERDC Research category C1.1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal
Persistent URL http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30024719

Document type: Journal Article
Collection: School of Accounting, Economics and Finance
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