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Recent research (N=9,305) underscores the importance of using age-stratified actuarial tables in sex offender risk assessments

Wollert, Richard, Cramer, Elliot, Waggoner, Jacqueline, Skelton, Alex and Vess, James 2010, Recent research (N=9,305) underscores the importance of using age-stratified actuarial tables in sex offender risk assessments, Sexual abuse : a journal of research and treatment, vol. 22, no. 4, pp. 471-490, doi: 10.1177/1079063210384633.

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Title Recent research (N=9,305) underscores the importance of using age-stratified actuarial tables in sex offender risk assessments
Author(s) Wollert, Richard
Cramer, Elliot
Waggoner, Jacqueline
Skelton, Alex
Vess, James
Journal name Sexual abuse : a journal of research and treatment
Volume number 22
Issue number 4
Start page 471
End page 490
Total pages 20
Publisher Sage Publications, Inc
Place of publication Thousand Oaks, Calif.
Publication date 2010-11-23
ISSN 1079-0632
1573-286X
Keyword(s) age invariance
ASRS
sexual recidivism
Static-99
MATS-1
Summary A useful understanding of the relationship between age, actuarial scores, and sexual recidivism can be obtained by comparing the entries in equivalent cells from “agestratified” actuarial tables. This article reports the compilation of the first multisample age-stratified table of sexual recidivism rates, referred to as the “multisample age-stratified table of sexual recidivism rates (MATS-1),” from recent research on Static-99 and another actuarial known as the Automated Sexual Recidivism Scale. The MATS-1 validates the “age invariance effect” that the risk of sexual recidivism declines with advancing age and shows that age-restricted tables underestimate risk for younger offenders and overestimate risk for older offenders. Based on data from more than 9,000 sex offenders, our conclusion is that evaluators should report recidivism estimates from age-stratified tables when they are assessing sexual recidivism risk, particularly when evaluating the aging sex offender.
Language eng
DOI 10.1177/1079063210384633
Field of Research 170104 Forensic Psychology
Socio Economic Objective 940408 Rehabilitation and Correctional Services
HERDC Research category C1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal
ERA Research output type C Journal article
HERDC collection year 2010
Copyright notice ©2010, The Authors
Persistent URL http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30032246

Document type: Journal Article
Collection: School of Psychology
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Created: Fri, 14 Jan 2011, 11:18:34 EST by Penny Andrews

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