Health burden of hip and other fractures in Australia beyond 2000

Sanders, Kerrie M., Nicholson, Geoffrey C., Ugoni, Antony M., Pasco, Julie A., Seeman, Ego and Kotowicz, Mark A. 1999, Health burden of hip and other fractures in Australia beyond 2000, Medical journal of Australia, vol. 170, no. 10, pp. 467-470.

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Title Health burden of hip and other fractures in Australia beyond 2000
Author(s) Sanders, Kerrie M.
Nicholson, Geoffrey C.
Ugoni, Antony M.
Pasco, Julie A.ORCID iD for Pasco, Julie A.
Seeman, Ego
Kotowicz, Mark A.ORCID iD for Kotowicz, Mark A.
Journal name Medical journal of Australia
Volume number 170
Issue number 10
Start page 467
End page 470
Total pages 4
Publisher Australasian Medical Publishing Company
Place of publication Sydney, N.S.W.
Publication date 1999-05-17
ISSN 0025-729X
Keyword(s) hip fractures
Geelong Osteoporosis Study
Summary Objective: To calculate the expected increase in the number of fractures in adults attributable to the predicted increase in the number of elderly Australians.

Data sources: All fractures in adult residents (> 35 years) of the Barwon Statistical Division (total population, 218 000) were identified from radiological reports from February 1994 to February 1996. The Australian Bureau of Statistics supplied predictions of Australia's population (1996 to 2051).

Main outcome measure:
The projected annual number of fractures in Australian adults up to 2051 (based on stable rates of fracture in each age group).

The number of fractures per year is projected to increase 25% from 1996 to 2006 (from 83 000 fractures to 104 000). Hip fractures are projected to increase 36% (from 15 000 to 21 000) because of a substantial rise in the number of elderly aged 85 years and over. Hip fractures are expected to double by 2026 and increase fourfold by 2051.

Conclusions: In contrast to Europe and North America, where numbers of hip fractures are expected to double by 2026 and then stabilise, in Australia hip fractures will continue to place a growing demand on healthcare resources for many decades. These projections can be used for setting goals and evaluating the costs and benefits of interventions in Australia.
Language eng
Field of Research 119999 Medical and Health Sciences not elsewhere classified
Socio Economic Objective 970111 Expanding Knowledge in the Medical and Health Sciences
HERDC Research category C1.1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal
Copyright notice ©1999, Australasian Medical Publishing Company
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Document type: Journal Article
Collections: Faculty of Health
School of Medicine
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