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Space-for-time substitution to assess likely response of aquatic ecosystems to future climate-related change

Pope, A., Barton, J., Close, P. and Lester, R. 2012, Space-for-time substitution to assess likely response of aquatic ecosystems to future climate-related change, in NCCARF/CSIRO 2012 : Sharing knowledge to adapt : Proceedings of Climate Adaptation in Action 2012, National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility (NCCARF), Griffith, Qld., pp. 412-412.

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Title Space-for-time substitution to assess likely response of aquatic ecosystems to future climate-related change
Author(s) Pope, A.
Barton, J.
Close, P.
Lester, R.
Conference name Climate Adaptation in Action. Conference (2012 : Melbourne, Vic.)
Conference location Melbourne, Vic.
Conference dates 26-28 Jun. 2012
Title of proceedings NCCARF/CSIRO 2012 : Sharing knowledge to adapt : Proceedings of Climate Adaptation in Action 2012
Editor(s) [unknown]
Publication date 2012
Conference series Climate Adaptation in Action. Conference
Start page 412
End page 412
Total pages 1
Publisher National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility (NCCARF)
Place of publication Griffith, Qld.
Summary Predicting and managing ecological response to a changing climate is often limited by an incomplete understanding of response thresholds and biogeographic differences. For example, step changes in rainfall and runoff, and threshold dynamics and hysteresis in ecological response make projection of future conditions difficult. To combat these constraints we propose that biophysical data across exiting climatic gradients can be used in a space-for-time substitution to predict climate-related ecological response elsewhere. This method builds on previous attempts at space-for-time substitution by using patterns in physical and physicochemical data to explain biological differences across the spatial gradient, then using those patterns to formulate hypotheses of temporal ecological response and finally testing those hypotheses on temporal data available in a second, similar region of interest. 
ISBN 9781921609510
Language eng
Field of Research 069999 Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified
Socio Economic Objective 970106 Expanding Knowledge in the Biological Sciences
HERDC Research category E3 Extract of paper
Copyright notice ©2012, National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility
Persistent URL http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30048258

Document type: Conference Paper
Collection: School of Life and Environmental Sciences
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