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Attributable risk analysis reveals potential healthcare savings from increased consumption of dairy products.

Doidge, James C., Segal, Leonie and Gospodarevskaya, Elena 2012, Attributable risk analysis reveals potential healthcare savings from increased consumption of dairy products., Journal of nutrition, vol. 142, no. 9, pp. 1772-1780, doi: 10.3945/jn.111.154161.

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Title Attributable risk analysis reveals potential healthcare savings from increased consumption of dairy products.
Author(s) Doidge, James C.
Segal, Leonie
Gospodarevskaya, Elena
Journal name Journal of nutrition
Volume number 142
Issue number 9
Start page 1772
End page 1780
Total pages 9
Publisher American Society of Nutrition
Place of publication Rockville, Md.
Publication date 2012-09-01
ISSN 1541-6100
Keyword(s) chronic disease
economics
prevention
control
dairy products
health care costs
statistics
numerical data
humans
risk assessment
risk factors
Summary With rising burdens of obesity and chronic disease, the role of diet as a modifiable risk factor is of increasing public health interest. There is a growing body of evidence that low consumption of dairy products is associated with elevated risk of chronic metabolic and cardiovascular disorders. Surveys also suggest that dairy product consumption falls well below recommended targets for much of the population in many countries, including the USA, UK, and Australia. We reviewed the scientific literature on the health effects of dairy product consumption (both positive and negative) and used the best available evidence to estimate the direct healthcare expenditure and burden of disease [disability-adjusted life years (DALY)] attributable to low consumption of dairy products in Australia. We implemented a novel technique for estimating population attributable risk developed for application in nutrition and other areas in which exposure to risk is a continuous variable. We found that in the 2010-2011 financial year, AUD$2.0 billion (USD$2.1 billion, €1.6 billion, or ∼1.7% of direct healthcare expenditure) and the loss of 75,012 DALY were attributable to low dairy product consumption. In sensitivity analyses, varying core assumptions yielded corresponding estimates of AUD$1.1-3.8 billion (0.9-3.3%) and 38,299-151,061 DALY lost. The estimated healthcare cost attributable to low dairy product consumption is comparable with total spending on public health in Australia (AUD$2.0 billion in 2009-2010). These findings justify the development and evaluation of cost-effective interventions that use dairy products as a vector for reducing the costs of diet-related disease.
Language eng
DOI 10.3945/jn.111.154161
Field of Research 119999 Medical and Health Sciences not elsewhere classified
Socio Economic Objective 970111 Expanding Knowledge in the Medical and Health Sciences
HERDC Research category C1.1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal
Persistent URL http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30064320

Document type: Journal Article
Collection: Population Health
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