Narayan, Paresh Kumar, Mishra, Sagarika, Narayan, Seema and Thuraisamy, Kannan 2015, Is exchange rate trading profitable?, Journal of international financial markets, institutions and money, vol. 38, pp. 217-229.
Journal of international financial markets, institutions and money
Volume number
38
Start page
217
End page
229
Total pages
13
Publisher
Elsevier
Place of publication
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Publication date
2015-09
ISSN
1042-4431
Summary
We Test whether exchange rate trading is profitable in the emerging markets of Brazil, China, India, And South Africa. Using Momentum trading strategies applied to high frequency data, we discover that: (a) momentum-based trading strategies lead to statistically significant profits from the currencies of all four emerging markets; (b) The South African Rand Is generally the most profitable, followed by the Brazilian Real And the Indian Rupee; (c) Profits are persistent during the day and are trading frequency dependent; and (d) During the period of the global financial crisis currency profits were maximised.
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