Burning anticipation: wildfire, risk mitigation and simulation modelling in Victoria, Australia

Neale, Timothy 2016, Burning anticipation: wildfire, risk mitigation and simulation modelling in Victoria, Australia, Environment and planning A, vol. 48, no. 10, pp. 2026-2045, doi: 10.1177/0308518X16651446.

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Title Burning anticipation: wildfire, risk mitigation and simulation modelling in Victoria, Australia
Author(s) Neale, TimothyORCID iD for Neale, Timothy orcid.org/0000-0003-4703-5801
Journal name Environment and planning A
Volume number 48
Issue number 10
Start page 2026
End page 2045
Total pages 20
Publisher Sage Publications
Place of publication London, Eng.
Publication date 2016-10
ISSN 0308-518X
Keyword(s) anticipation
Summary Wildfire is a global environmental ‘problem’ with significant socioeconomic and socionatural impacts that does not lend itself to simple technical fixes (Gill et al., 2013: 439). In Australia, a country with a pronounced history of disastrous landscape fires, these impacts are expected to increase as the peri-urban population continues to grow and the climate continues to change. This paper draws upon the burgeoning literature on anticipatory regimes to analyse an in-depth case study of a government pilot in the highly fire-prone State of Victoria, where practitioners have utilised a simulation model to measure and intervene in the distribution of wildfire risk. The pilot presents the ‘calculative collective device’ (Callon and Muniesa, 2005) of wildfire management at a moment of what I label ‘calculative rearticulation’, wherein figurations of the future are rebooted, reconstructed or recalibrated; such moments, I suggest, can reorient the institutionally conservative spaces – such as environmental or risk management – providing opportunities for practitioners and others to interrogate the existing distribution of hazards and anticipatory interventions. Through such opportunities ‘hazardous’ more-than-human landscapes can be imagined otherwise.
Language eng
DOI 10.1177/0308518X16651446
Field of Research 160104 Social and Cultural Anthropology
1604 Human Geography
Socio Economic Objective 961004 Natural Hazards in Forest and Woodlands Environments
HERDC Research category C1.1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal
ERA Research output type C Journal article
Copyright notice ©2016, The Authors
Persistent URL http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30088214

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