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Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters?

Bolger, Fergus, Stranieri, Andrew, Wright, George and Yearwood, John 2011, Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters?, Technological forecasting and social change, vol. 78, no. 9, pp. 1671-1680, doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2011.06.002.

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Title Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters?
Author(s) Bolger, Fergus
Stranieri, Andrew
Wright, George
Yearwood, John
Journal name Technological forecasting and social change
Volume number 78
Issue number 9
Start page 1671
End page 1680
Total pages 10
Publisher Elsevier
Place of publication Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Publication date 2011-11
ISSN 0040-1625
Keyword(s) Delphi technique
Judgmental forecasting
Accuracy improvement
Consensus
Opinion change
Language eng
DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2011.06.002
Field of Research 10 Technology
14 Economics
15 Commerce, Management, Tourism And Services
HERDC Research category C1.1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal
Copyright notice ©2011, Elsevier Inc.
Persistent URL http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30101442

Document type: Journal Article
Collection: School of Information Technology
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