The economic impact of eradicating peste des petits ruminants: a benefit-cost analysis

Jones, Bryony A., Rich, Karl M., Mariner, Jeffrey C., Anderson, John, Jeggo, Martyn, Thevasagayam, Sam, Cai, Yi, Peters, Andrew R. and Roeder, Peter 2016, The economic impact of eradicating peste des petits ruminants: a benefit-cost analysis, PLoS one, vol. 11, no. 2, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0149982.

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Title The economic impact of eradicating peste des petits ruminants: a benefit-cost analysis
Author(s) Jones, Bryony A.
Rich, Karl M.
Mariner, Jeffrey C.
Anderson, John
Jeggo, Martyn
Thevasagayam, Sam
Cai, Yi
Peters, Andrew R.
Roeder, Peter
Journal name PLoS one
Volume number 11
Issue number 2
Article ID e0149982
Total pages 18
Publisher Public Library of Science
Place of publication San Fransisco, Calif.
Publication date 2016-02-22
ISSN 1932-6203
Keyword(s) Science & Technology
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Science & Technology - Other Topics
RINDERPEST CONTROL
SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACTS
VIRUS
OUTBREAK
STRATEGIES
ANTIBODIES
INFECTION
DIAGNOSIS
DISEASES
LOSSES
Summary Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) is an important cause of mortality and production loss among sheep and goats in the developing world. Despite control efforts in a number of countries, it has continued to spread across Africa and Asia, placing an increasing burden on the livelihoods of livestock keepers and on veterinary resources in affected countries. Given the similarities between PPR and rinderpest, and the lessons learned from the successful global eradication of rinderpest, the eradication of PPR seems appealing, both eliminating an important disease and improving the livelihoods of the poor in developing countries. We conducted a benefit-cost analysis to examine the economic returns from a proposed programme for the global eradication of PPR. Based on our knowledge and experience, we developed the eradication strategy and estimated its costs. The benefits of the programme were determined from (i) the averted mortality costs, based on an analysis of the literature, (ii) the downstream impact of reduced mortality using a social accounting matrix, and (iii) the avoided control costs based on current levels of vaccination. The results of the benefit-cost analysis suggest strong economic returns from PPR eradication. Based on a 15-year programme with total discounted costs of US$2.26 billion, we estimate discounted benefits of US$76.5 billion, yielding a net benefit of US$74.2 billion. This suggests a benefit cost ratio of 33.8, and an internal rate of return (IRR) of 199%. As PPR mortality rates are highly variable in different populations, we conducted a sensitivity analysis based on lower and higher mortality scenarios. All the scenarios examined indicate that investment in PPR eradication would be highly beneficial economically. Furthermore, removing one of the major constraints to small ruminant production would be of considerable benefit to many of the most vulnerable communities in Africa and Asia.
Language eng
DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0149982
Field of Research MD Multidisciplinary
HERDC Research category C1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal
Copyright notice ©2016, Jones et al.
Persistent URL http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30122893

Document type: Journal Article
Collections: Faculty of Health
School of Medicine
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