In this note, we provide a step-by-step approach of Westerlund and Narayan (WN, 2012, 2015) predictability test using COVID-19 and oil price data. This is an important exercise because the WN model addresses three salient features of time series data, namely persistency, endogeneity and heteroskedasticity. We consider COVID-19 and oil price data as predictors of stock market returns for four Asian countries to demonstrate the applicability of the WN (2012, 2015) predictability approach.• This note demonstrates a step-by-step approach of the WN (2012, 2015) predictability test.• WN model accommodates three salient features of time-series data, namely persistency, endogeneity, and heteroskedasticity.• COVID-19 and oil price does not significantly predict stock returns of Japan, Russia, and Singapore (except in the case of South Korea).
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Every reasonable effort has been made to ensure that permission has been obtained for items included in DRO. If you believe that your rights have been infringed by this repository, please contact drosupport@deakin.edu.au.