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Exploratory modelling of transitions: An emerging approach for coping with uncertainties in transitions research

Version 2 2024-06-18, 23:25
Version 1 2020-10-06, 14:11
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posted on 2024-06-18, 23:25 authored by Enayat Allah Moallemi, Fjalar J de Haan, Jonathan Köhler
Transitions research adopts a highly dynamic view to complex system transformations across multiple dimensions. This view incorporates deep uncertainties into the analytical process. The systematic treatment of these uncertainties, however, has remained underdeveloped in transitions research so far. This chapter focuses on the adoption of exploratory modelling - as an emerging computational approach for coping with uncertainties - to transitions. The chapter defines potential roles for exploratory modelling for understanding, policy insights and stakeholder processes in transitions research. The chapter also analyses the strengths and limitations of this approach in terms of coping with complexities, facilitating systematic experimentation and advancing policy analysis.

History

Chapter number

13

Pagination

228-246

ISBN-13

9780367174064

ISBN-10

0429056575

Language

eng

Publication classification

B1 Book chapter

Extent

14

Editor/Contributor(s)

Moallemi E, de Haan F

Publisher

Routledge

Place of publication

London, Eng.

Title of book

Modelling transitions : virtues, vices, visions of the future

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