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Investigating relationships of construction prices in Australia using cointegration analysis

conference contribution
posted on 2010-01-01, 00:00 authored by Jason Jiang, Cuijia Fu, Chunlu LiuChunlu Liu
Research on construction prices is significant for contractors and traders. A comprehensive understanding of construction prices may influence crucial decisions in business operation and arbitrage activities. This study focuses on the cointegration relationships of regional construction prices in Australia by using a range of econometric techniques including the stationarity test, the Engle-Granger cointegration approach examines the long run equilibrium relationships within the regional markets, and the error correction models explore the short run disequilibrium relationships. Finds of this study reveal that the economic system in which the construction industry participants operate is characterized by a highly competitive, integrated marketplace, Especially in Melbourne and Sydney. But exclude Northern Territory and Queensland. Furthermore, the results of long term relationships estimation suggest that there are 15 pairs of regional construction prices have long term equilibrium relationships. Additionally, the causalities and diffusion among the construction price indices in six states and two territories of Australia are estimated in this study. These outcomes suggest that causal links between regions mainly exist among adjoining states.



Australasian Universities Building Education Association. Conference (35th : 2010 : Melbourne, Vic)




Melbourne, Vic.

Place of publication

Melbourne, Vic.

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Publication classification

E1 Full written paper - refereed

Copyright notice

2010, AUBEA

Title of proceedings

AUBEA 2010 : Construction Management(s) : Proceedings of the 35th Australasian Universities Building Education Association annual conference

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