Probabilistic reasoning of inconsistent belief in protocol analysis

Security protocols have been recently found with subtle flaws due to incomplete or ambiguous specification. Although formal methods have remarkably assisted in protocol analysis, they ignores the effect of hostile/uncertain environment, which might lead to inconsistent belief that can be held by principals in delivered messages. This discrepant belief may prevent us from representing the insecurity and uncertainty in a real trading situation. Unfortunately, the current approaches lack the ability to handle the inconsistent belief. This article presents a probabilistic method, which intuitively measures the belief from different principals that can be put on the goal of the protocol. The experiments demonstrate our method is useful to enhance the protocol analysis.