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Trade, openness and domestic conflict: an empirical investigation for latin America

conference contribution
posted on 01.01.2005, 00:00 authored by Prasad BhattacharyaPrasad Bhattacharya, D Thomakos
This paper explores whether there is an empirical relationship between trade, openness and domestic conflict for Latin America based on the analytical framework of Garfinkel, Skaperdas and Syropoulos (2004). Using ordinal regressions and Markov switching models for seventeen countries, we identify the factors responsible for the initiation and sustenance of domestic conflict. Our overall results suggest that: (i) increased trade openness reduces domestic conflict intensities but (ii) over dependence on agricultural exports, along with poor socio-political performance, lead to sustenance of low intensity conflicts. We also analyze conflict duration using proportional hazard models and find that over-reliance on agricultural exports plays the main role in conflict sustenance after controlling for socio-political factors.

History

Title of proceedings

ACE 05 : Proceedings of the Australian Conference of Economists 2005

Event

Australian Conference of Economists (34th : 2005: Melbourne, Vic.)

Pagination

1 - 48

Publisher

Blackwell Publishing Asia

Location

University of Melbourne, Melbourne

Place of publication

Carlton, Vic.

Start date

26/09/2005

End date

28/09/2005

ISBN-13

9780734026088

ISBN-10

0734026080

Language

eng

Publication classification

E1 Full written paper - refereed; E Conference publication

Editor/Contributor(s)

R Dixon, J Freebairn, B Griffiths