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A critical review of the application of environmental scenario exercises

journal contribution
posted on 2015-10-01, 00:00 authored by J Wodak, Timothy NealeTimothy Neale
Scenario exercises have become instrumental across multiple fields, from their original usage in business and military planning, to being ubiquitous in environmental planning and policy formation. This article critically reviews whether there are explicit and imminent divisions between how scenario exercises are used and discussed, with particular focus on the literature of qualitative scenarios concerning environmental challenges. The authors interrogate what scenario exercises are in actual practice, in the context of what they are used for and how they are designed, before then considering the criteria for determining ‘success’ for a scenario exercise. The particular focus of the literature analysed is in the emergence of the discipline of ‘environmental scenarios’, being scenarios concerned with 21st Century environmental challenges such as the influence of climate change on the notion of natural hazards.

History

Journal

Futures

Volume

73

Article number

C

Pagination

176-186

Location

Amsterdam, The Netherlands

ISSN

0016-3287

Language

eng

Publication classification

C Journal article, C1.1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal

Copyright notice

2015, Elsevier

Publisher

Elsevier