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Are nominal exchange rates and price levels co-integrated? new evidence from threshold autoregressive and momentum-threshold autoregressive models

journal contribution
posted on 2007-03-01, 00:00 authored by Paresh Narayan
The goal of this paper is to examine evidence for co-integration between nominal exchange rates for Canada, the UK, Japan, Germany, Italy and France (G6) vis-à-vis the US dollar, and the relative price ratios using monthly data over the period 1973:01 to 1997:04. Motivated by the fact that exchange rate adjustment may be asymmetric, we allowed for asymmetric adjustment in exchange rates by using the threshold autoregressive model and the momentum threshold autoregressive model. We do not find any evidence of a co-integrating relationship; hence, we fail to establish long-run purchasing power parity.

History

Journal

The economic record

Volume

83

Issue

260

Pagination

74 - 85

Publisher

Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Asia

Location

Richmond, Vic.

ISSN

0013-0249

eISSN

1475-4932

Language

eng

Publication classification

C1.1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal

Copyright notice

2007, The Economic Society of Australia

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