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Bubbles, inertia, and experience in experimental asset markets

journal contribution
posted on 1997-01-01, 00:00 authored by Tom StanleyTom Stanley
We find that irrational bubbles continue to form in an experimental assets market even though experience lessens specious market pricing. However, this irrationality may remain hidden from the customary observational perspective. Both price expectations and bubbles appear rational, passing both traditional and cointegration tests. Conventional statistical testing has difficulty distinguishing "irrational" inertia from "rational" market behavior. Yet, inertia provides a much better explanation of observed, experimental market prices than do the "fundamentals" Keywords: Inertia, Rational Bubbles, Experimental Markets, Econometric Testing.

History

Journal

Journal of Socio-Economics

Volume

26

Pagination

611-625

Location

Amsterdam, The Netherlands

ISSN

1053-5357

Publication classification

CN.1 Other journal article

Issue

6

Publisher

Elsevier

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