It is commonly accepted that credit market frictions are an important source of macroeconomic fluctuations. But what is the link between the two? And what is the driving factor of asset prices volatility? To answer these questions, we have introduced a specific credit friction, limited commitment, in a general equilibrium model with production and investment in productive capital, where agents can trade bonds. The model always displays a stationary equilibrium where bonds are traded. More importantly, limited commitment may generate stochastic endogenous fluctuations driven by self-fulfilling volatile expectations (sunspots), yielding credit and investment cycles and bond price volatility consistent with data.
History
Journal
Macroeconomic dynamics
Volume
22
Season
Special Issue
Pagination
1859-1874
Location
Cambridge, Eng.
ISSN
1365-1005
eISSN
1469-8056
Language
eng
Publication classification
C1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal, C Journal article