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Environmental influences on breeding biology and pup production in Australian fur seals
journal contribution
posted on 2022-04-01, 00:00 authored by J J Geeson, A J Hobday, C N Speakman, John ArnouldJohn ArnouldKnowledge of factors affecting a species' breeding biology is crucial to understanding how environmental variability impacts population trajectories and enables predictions on how species may respond to global change. The Australian fur seal (
Arctocephalus pusillus doriferus
, AUFS) represents the largest marine predator biomass in southeastern Australia, an oceanic region experiencing rapid warming that will impact the abundance and distribution of prey. The present study (1997–2020) investigated breeding phenology and pup production in AUFS on Kanowna Island, northern Bass Strait. The pupping period varied by 11 days and the median pupping date by 8 days and were negatively correlated to 1- and 2-year lagged winter zonal winds, respectively, within Bass Strait. While there was no temporal trend over the study period, annual pup production (1386–2574 pups) was negatively correlated to 1-year lagged summer zonal winds in the Bonney Upwelling region and positively correlated to the current-year Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). In addition, a fecundity index (ratio of new-born pups to adult females at the median pupping date) was positively correlated with current-year Southern Annular Mode (SAM) conditions. Periods of positive SOI and positive SAM conditions are forecast to increase in coming decades, suggesting advantageous conditions for the Kanowna Island AUFS population.
History
Journal
Royal Society Open ScienceVolume
9Issue
4Article number
211399Pagination
1 - 20Publisher
The Royal SocietyLocation
London, Eng.Publisher DOI
Link to full text
ISSN
2054-5703eISSN
2054-5703Language
engPublication classification
C1 Refereed article in a scholarly journalUsage metrics
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No categories selectedKeywords
Bass Straitmarine predatorphenologypinnipedSouthern Annular ModeSouthern Oscillation IndexScience & TechnologyMultidisciplinary SciencesScience & Technology - Other TopicsARCTOCEPHALUS-PUSILLUS-DORIFERUSCLIMATE-CHANGEREPRODUCTIVE-PERFORMANCEMULTIMODEL INFERENCEFORAGING ENERGETICSBEHAVIORAL ECOLOGYTEMPORAL VARIATIONPREY AVAILABILITYUPWELLING SYSTEMS
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