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Estimativa das alterações de temperatura no ciclo de cultivo de trigo e cevada para o ano de 2050 em Guarapuava, Paraná - Brasil
journal contribution
posted on 2018-09-01, 00:00 authored by Lauro Augusto Ribas Teixeira, Sidnei Osmar Jadoski, Robert FaggianRobert Faggian, Victor SpositoVictor Sposito, Jana MrazovaClimate change is one of the major challenges for agriculture, it is becoming more imperative to anticipate the likely impacts caused by temperature changes in regional and rural planning. This article aims
to evaluate the effects of the average temperature changes in the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 IPCC scenarios, for the cultivation period of the wheat and barley crops in the municipality of Guarapuava, Paraná. For the study
were used the IPCC models (Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change (report 2014)) and determining a base scenario for the period of years between 1970-2000 with local climatic data and coming from WorldClim
(Global Climate Data). It was verified that within the area of 3 178.6 km² there will be an increase in temperature for the period considered, and the minimum values of increase of the average temperature may vary between 2.4 and 4.5% considering the scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 respectively.
to evaluate the effects of the average temperature changes in the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 IPCC scenarios, for the cultivation period of the wheat and barley crops in the municipality of Guarapuava, Paraná. For the study
were used the IPCC models (Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change (report 2014)) and determining a base scenario for the period of years between 1970-2000 with local climatic data and coming from WorldClim
(Global Climate Data). It was verified that within the area of 3 178.6 km² there will be an increase in temperature for the period considered, and the minimum values of increase of the average temperature may vary between 2.4 and 4.5% considering the scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 respectively.
