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Invisible walls: Do psychological barriers really exist in stock index levels?

Version 2 2024-06-03, 15:11
Version 1 2016-03-10, 14:54
journal contribution
posted on 2024-06-03, 15:11 authored by SA Woodhouse, Harminder SinghHarminder Singh, Sukanto BhattacharyaSukanto Bhattacharya, K Kumar
We investigate whether the levels of a stock market index contain any evidence of a behavioural bias depending on the proximity of the index level to 'psychological barriers'. These are certain index levels (usually in multiples of 100) at which the market tends to stick before breaking out either up or down. Extant behavioural finance literature has attributed this to investors' subjective perception of 'something special' about certain index levels where in fact no rational economic basis exists for such a perception. We carry out an empirical analysis of the NASDAQ Composite index and find that barrier effects are indeed present in that stock index. We employ simulation analysis to validate of our obtained results.

History

Journal

North American journal of economics and finance

Volume

36

Pagination

267-278

Location

Amsterdamn, The Netherlands

ISSN

1062-9408

Publication classification

C1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal, C Journal article

Copyright notice

2016, Elsevier

Publisher

Elsevier