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Is exchange rate trading profitable?

journal contribution
posted on 2015-09-01, 00:00 authored by Paresh Narayan, Sagarika MishraSagarika Mishra, S Narayan, Kannan ThuraisamyKannan Thuraisamy
We Test whether exchange rate trading is profitable in the emerging markets of Brazil, China, India, And South Africa. Using Momentum trading strategies applied to high frequency data, we discover that: (a) momentum-based trading strategies lead to statistically significant profits from the currencies of all four emerging markets; (b) The South African Rand Is generally the most profitable, followed by the Brazilian Real And the Indian Rupee; (c) Profits are persistent during the day and are trading frequency dependent; and (d) During the period of the global financial crisis currency profits were maximised.

History

Journal

Journal of international financial markets, institutions and money

Volume

38

Pagination

217 - 229

Publisher

Elsevier

Location

Amsterdam, The Netherlands

ISSN

1042-4431

Language

eng

Publication classification

C Journal article; C1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal

Copyright notice

2015, Elsevier