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On the use of GLS demeaning in panel unit root testing

journal contribution
posted on 2018-01-01, 00:00 authored by Joakim WesterlundJoakim Westerlund
One of the most well-known facts about unit root testing in time series is that the Dickey–Fuller (DF) test based on ordinary least squares (OLS) demeaned data suffers from low power, and that the use of generalized least squares (GLS) demeaning can lead to substantial power gains. Of course, this development has not gone unnoticed in the panel unit root literature. However, while the potential of using GLS demeaning is widely recognized, oddly enough, there are still no theoretical results available to facilitate a formal analysis of such demeaning in the panel data context. The present article can be seen as a reaction to this. The purpose is to evaluate the effect of GLS demeaning when used in conjuncture with the pooled OLS t-test for a unit root, resulting in a panel analog of the time series DF–GLS test. A key finding is that the success of GLS depend critically on the order in which the dependent variable is demeaned and first-differenced. If the variable is demeaned prior to taking first-differences, power is maximized by using GLS demeaning, whereas if the differencing is done first, then OLS demeaning is preferred. Furthermore, even if the former demeaning approach is used, such that GLS is preferred, the asymptotic distribution of the resulting test is independent of the tuning parameters that characterize the local alternative under which the demeaning performed. Hence, the demeaning can just as well be performed under the unit root null hypothesis. In this sense, GLS demeaning under the local alternative is redundant.

History

Journal

Journal of business and economic statistics

Volume

36

Pagination

309-320

Location

Abingdon, Eng.

ISSN

0735-0015

eISSN

1537-2707

Language

eng

Publication classification

C1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal, C Journal article

Copyright notice

2017, American Statistical Association

Issue

2

Publisher

Taylor & Francis

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