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Patterns in transitions: Understanding complex chains of change

journal contribution
posted on 2011-01-01, 00:00 authored by J Hans de Haan, J Rotmans
This article presents a multi-pattern approach for the description and understanding of the dynamics of societal transitions. The central idea is that any transition path can be considered a concatenation of patterns. Although theorising on transitions has advanced greatly, a coherent and integral approach was still lacking. Therefore, the current conceptual language of transitions is reframed and expanded from a complexity view on societal systems. The resulting theoretical framework straightforwardly leads to the identification of the patterns presented. The Dutch healthcare system is used to demonstrate how this multi-pattern approach could be used to describe transitions and make storylines. Furthermore a typology of transition paths derived from this approach is presented as another way in which these patterns may be used. © 2010 Elsevier Inc.

History

Journal

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Volume

78

Issue

1

Pagination

90 - 102

ISSN

0040-1625

Publication classification

C1.1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal

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