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Regime dependent causality : equity and credit markets

journal contribution
posted on 2012-01-01, 00:00 authored by R Bhar, D Colwell, Peipei WangPeipei Wang
We apply a Markov switching model to investigate the possibility of an asymmetric causal relationship between the volatility process inferred from the iTraxx CDS options market and the implied volatility from the stock index options market. We find strong evidence that the stock market leads the CDS market and the effect of the implied stock market volatility is more significant during the volatile regime. We also find that a large jump in the stock return, up or down, may indeed be followed by a regime shift.

History

Journal

International journal of financial markets and derivatives

Volume

3

Issue

1

Pagination

36 - 44

Publisher

Inderscience Publishers

Location

Olney, England

ISSN

1756-7130

Language

eng

Publication classification

C1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal

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