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Reproduction Number of the Omicron Variant Triples That of the Delta Variant

Version 2 2024-06-02, 23:00
Version 1 2023-07-17, 05:17
journal contribution
posted on 2024-06-02, 23:00 authored by Z Du, H Hong, S Wang, L Ma, C Liu, Y Bai, DC Adam, L Tian, L Wang, Eric LauEric Lau, BJ Cowling
COVID-19 remains a persistent threat, especially with the predominant Omicron variant emerging in early 2022, presenting with high transmissibility, immune escape, and waning. There is a need to rapidly ramp up global vaccine coverage while enhancing public health and social measures. Timely and reliable estimation of the reproduction number throughout a pandemic is critical for assessing the impact of mitigation efforts and the potential need to adjust for control measures. We conducted a systematic review on the reproduction numbers of the Omicron variant and gave the pooled estimates. We identified six studies by searching PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Google Scholar for articles published between 1 January 2020 and 6 March 2022. We estimate that the effective reproduction number ranges from 2.43 to 5.11, with a pooled estimate of 4.20 (95% CI: 2.05, 6.35). The Omicron variant has an effective reproduction number which is triple (2.71 (95% CI: 1.86, 3.56)) that of the Delta variant.

History

Journal

Viruses

Volume

14

Article number

821

Pagination

1-5

Location

Basel, Switzerland

ISSN

1999-4915

eISSN

1999-4915

Language

eng

Publication classification

C1.1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal

Issue

4

Publisher

MDPI

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