Deakin University
Browse
DOCUMENT
evid-theeffectsofthelate2000speerrvw-2013.pdf (33.23 kB)
DOCUMENT
jiang-effectsofthelate-2013.pdf (875.96 kB)
1/0
2 files

The effects of the late 2000s global financial crisis on Australia's construction demand

Version 2 2024-06-06, 01:19
Version 1 2014-10-28, 10:17
journal contribution
posted on 2024-06-06, 01:19 authored by H Jiang, XH Jin, Chunlu LiuChunlu Liu
An accurate measurement of the impacts of external shocks on construction demand will enable construction industry policymakers and developers to make allowances for future occurrences and advance the construction industry in a sustainable manner. This paper aims to measurethe dynamic effects of the late 2000s global financial crisis on the level of demand in the Australian construction industry. The vector error correction (VEC) model with intervention indicators is employed to estimate the external impact from the crisis on a macro-level construction economic indicator, namely construction demand. The methodology comprises six main stages to produce appropriate VEC models that describe the characteristics of the underlying process. Research findings suggestthat overall residential and non-residential construction demand were affected significantly by the recent crisis and seasonality. Non-residentialconstruction demand was disrupted more than residential construction demand at the crisis onset. The residential constructionindustry is more reactive and is able to recover faster following the crisis in comparison with the non-residential industry. The VEC model with intervention indicators developed in this study can be used as an experiment for an advanced econometric method. This can be used to analyse the effects of special eventsand factors not only on construction but also on other industries.

History

Journal

Australasian journal of construction economics and building

Volume

13

Pagination

65-79

Location

Sydney, N.S.W.

Open access

  • Yes

ISSN

1835-6354

eISSN

1837-9133

Language

eng

Publication classification

C1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal

Copyright notice

2013, University of Technology Sydney ePress

Issue

3

Publisher

University of Technology Sydney ePress