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posted on 2024-06-18, 05:37authored byD Bannigidadmath, PK Narayan
In this paper we show that Indian stock returns, based on industry portfolios, portfolios sorted on book-to-market, and on size, are predictable. While we discover that this predictability holds both in in-sample and out-of-sample tests, predictability is not homogenous. Some predictors are important than others and some industries and portfolios of stocks are more predictable and, therefore, more profitable than others. We also discover that a mean combination forecast approach delivers significant out-of-sample performance. Our results survive a battery of robustness tests.
History
Language
eng
Notes
School working paper (Deakin University. School of Accounting, Economics and Finance) ; 2015/07
In this paper we show that Indian stock returns, based on industry portfolios, portfolios sorted on book-to-market, and on size, are predictable. While we discover that this predictability holds both in in-sample and out-of-sample tests, predictability is not homogenous. Some predictors are important than others and some industries and portfolios of stocks are more predictable and, therefore, more profitable than others. We also discover that a mean combination forecast approach delivers significant out-of-sample performance. Our results survive a battery of robustness tests.
Publication classification
CN.1 Other journal article
Copyright notice
2015, The Authors
Pagination
1-124
Publisher
Deakin University, School of Accounting, Economics and Finance
Place of publication
Geelong, Vic.
Series
SChool Working Paper - Financial Econometrics Series ; SWP 2015/07