This research study used advanced digitized scenario modelling techniques and a Coastal Scenario Planning Model was developed to identify opportunities, issues and risks for informing decision-making for the Point Impossible to Jan Juc Masterplan project. For the purposes of this study, the future scenarios were based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emission scenario RCP8.5.
Pagination1 - 34
PublisherLive+Smart Research Laboratory, Deakin University
Place of publicationGeelong, Vic.
Research statementThis research aimed to develop and use a coastal scenario planning and assessment model to identify opportunities, issues and risks for informing design and decision making for the Point Impossible to Jan Juc Masterplan project.
To achieve the project aim, the developed Coastal Scenario Planning Model included a new 2D and 3D GIS based digital model with an extensive geodatabase created of the study area (Point Impossible to Jan Juc). Further, this required a detailed review of contemporary literature in scenario planning, including the understanding and identifying of environmental factors that may affect this specific study area.
In summary, the following objectives were considered:
1. Identify the high-risk areas in terms of sea level rise, storm surge, flooding and soil erosion
2. Generate 2D and 3D digital models of the study area and its surroundings
3. Outline social and culturally sensitive heritage areas
4. Identify current legislation and coastal management strategies
5. Identify relevant indicators and project specific indicators to be utilized in the scenario planning model
Publication classificationA6 Research report/technical paper