Predictions in public: understanding the design, communication and dissemination of predictive maps to the public: Work Package 3: Role and value of predictive service products
Version 2 2024-05-31, 02:17
Version 1 2023-03-01, 22:23
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posted on 2024-05-31, 02:17 authored by Timothy NealeTimothy Neale, Gabrielle Miller, Chloe Begg, Paula Dootson, Erica Kuligowski, Amy Griffin, Graham Dwyer, Angela GardnerPredictions in public: understanding the design, communication and dissemination of predictive maps to the public: Work Package 3: Role and value of predictive service products
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9780645205855Language
engResearch statement
Background Bushfire simulation models and other predictive tools are increasingly used to inform operational and planning decisions, foremost through the production and use of predictive fire spread maps (FSMs). These maps show the predicted extent of a given fire over a given time period. Prior to the 2019-2020 bushfire season, such maps were occasionally shown to members of the public, however during that landmark season agencies in NSW and ACT produced, communicated, and disseminated select FSMs to the public. Contribution The findings of this Work Package suggest that sector practitioners are generally positive about the future public use of predictive FSMs, identifying a range of benefits that ultimately outweigh the risks to the public and agencies of developing this new product. Their insights will be of great value to a number of audiences, including the project team, who will investigate public awareness of predictive products and test and evaluate predictive FSMs in subsequent work packages. Significance This research has been reviewed by the funding agency (Natural Hazards Research Australia) as well as an end user panel of experts. One expert summarises: "The research released in this report gives an important basis for understanding current firefighting agency perspectives and, more broadly, a snapshot of the maturity of the use of Predictive Services within the firefighting sector. It will prove very useful in future research, policy, and practice both in relation to Predictive Service and the sector more broadly." - Inspector Laurence McCoy, Manager of Predictive Services, NSW Rural Fire ServicePublication classification
A6 Research report/technical paperPublisher
Natural Hazards Research AustraliaPlace of publication
Melbourne, Vic.Usage metrics
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