Space-for-time substitution to assess likely response of aquatic ecosystems to future climate-related change
Pope, A., Barton, J., Close, P. and Lester, R. 2012, Space-for-time substitution to assess likely response of aquatic ecosystems to future climate-related change, in NCCARF/CSIRO 2012 : Sharing knowledge to adapt : Proceedings of Climate Adaptation in Action 2012, National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility (NCCARF), Griffith, Qld., pp. 412-412.
National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility (NCCARF)
Place of publication
Griffith, Qld.
Summary
Predicting and managing ecological response to a changing climate is often limited by an incomplete understanding of response thresholds and biogeographic differences. For example, step changes in rainfall and runoff, and threshold dynamics and hysteresis in ecological response make projection of future conditions difficult. To combat these constraints we propose that biophysical data across exiting climatic gradients can be used in a space-for-time substitution to predict climate-related ecological response elsewhere. This method builds on previous attempts at space-for-time substitution by using patterns in physical and physicochemical data to explain biological differences across the spatial gradient, then using those patterns to formulate hypotheses of temporal ecological response and finally testing those hypotheses on temporal data available in a second, similar region of interest.
ISBN
9781921609510
Language
eng
Field of Research
069999 Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified
Socio Economic Objective
970106 Expanding Knowledge in the Biological Sciences
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