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Short-term prediction of covid-19 cases using machine learning models

Satu, MS, Howlader, KC, Mahmud, M, Shamim Kaiser, M, Islam, Shariful, Quinn, JMW, Alyami, SA and Moni, MA 2021, Short-term prediction of covid-19 cases using machine learning models, Applied Sciences, vol. 11, no. 9, pp. 4266-4283, doi: 10.3390/app11094266.

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Title Short-term prediction of covid-19 cases using machine learning models
Author(s) Satu, MS
Howlader, KC
Mahmud, M
Shamim Kaiser, M
Islam, SharifulORCID iD for Islam, Shariful orcid.org/0000-0001-7926-9368
Quinn, JMW
Alyami, SA
Moni, MA
Journal name Applied Sciences
Volume number 11
Issue number 9
Article ID 4266
Start page 4266
End page 4283
Total pages 18
Publisher MDPI
Place of publication Basel, Switzerland
Publication date 2021
ISSN 2076-3417
2076-3417
Keyword(s) Science & Technology
Physical Sciences
Technology
Chemistry, Multidisciplinary
Engineering, Multidisciplinary
Materials Science, Multidisciplinary
Physics, Applied
Chemistry
Engineering
Materials Science
Physics
COVID-19
machine learning
infected cases
forecasting
TIME-SERIES
EPIDEMIC
LOCKDOWN
LSTM
Summary The first case in Bangladesh of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was reported on 8 March 2020, with the number of confirmed cases rapidly rising to over 175,000 by July 2020. In the absence of effective treatment, an essential tool of health policy is the modeling and forecasting of the progress of the pandemic. We, therefore, developed a cloud-based machine learning short-term forecasting model for Bangladesh, in which several regression-based machine learning models were applied to infected case data to estimate the number of COVID-19-infected people over the following seven days. This approach can accurately forecast the number of infected cases daily by training the prior 25 days sample data recorded on our web application. The outcomes of these efforts could aid the development and assessment of prevention strategies and identify factors that most affect the spread of COVID-19 infection in Bangladesh.
Language eng
DOI 10.3390/app11094266
Indigenous content off
HERDC Research category C1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal
Free to Read? Yes
Persistent URL http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30151361

Document type: Journal Article
Collections: Faculty of Health
Open Access Collection
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Citation counts: TR Web of Science Citation Count  Cited 11 times in TR Web of Science
Scopus Citation Count Cited 13 times in Scopus Google Scholar Search Google Scholar
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Created: Fri, 14 May 2021, 09:16:38 EST

Every reasonable effort has been made to ensure that permission has been obtained for items included in DRO. If you believe that your rights have been infringed by this repository, please contact drosupport@deakin.edu.au.