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Influence of climatic changes on agricultural land suitability potential for wheat cultivation in the guarapuava microregion, Southern Brazil

Teixeira, LAR, Jadoski, SO, Faggian, Robert and Sposito, Victor 2021, Influence of climatic changes on agricultural land suitability potential for wheat cultivation in the guarapuava microregion, Southern Brazil, Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia, vol. 36, no. 1, January - March, pp. 39-47, doi: 10.1590/0102-77863540081.

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Title Influence of climatic changes on agricultural land suitability potential for wheat cultivation in the guarapuava microregion, Southern Brazil
Author(s) Teixeira, LAR
Jadoski, SO
Faggian, RobertORCID iD for Faggian, Robert orcid.org/0000-0001-8750-3062
Sposito, VictorORCID iD for Sposito, Victor orcid.org/0000-0001-8833-2816
Journal name Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia
Volume number 36
Issue number 1
Season January - March
Start page 39
End page 47
Total pages 9
Publisher Sociedade Brasileira de Meteorologia
Place of publication Brasilia, Brazil
Publication date 2021-01
ISSN 0102-7786
1982-4351
Keyword(s) climatic scenarios
multi-criterial analysis
land suitability potential
IPCC
Summary Evidence that global climate change will occur as a result of increased concentrations of greenhouse gases has been increasingly consistent and accepted by the international scientific community. This study aimed to evaluate climate change estimates in the Guarapuava microregion in the state of Paraná, analyzing the impacts on the wheat crop, using modeling for future scenarios and comparing with a base scenario of the past. Mathematical adequacy models were adjusted using Multiple Criteria Analysis (MCA) and Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), with the purpose of evaluating the possible impacts of climate changes on wheat crop, using the climatic scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 (IPCC) for the calculation of the Land suitability potential in the Guarapuava-PR microregion. The results indicate that the factor of greatest impact for the reduction of the agricultural aptitude index of the wheat in the next 30 years is the projection of increase of the average monthly temperature by approximately 1.5 to 2 °C during the development cycle of the crop in the field.
Language por
DOI 10.1590/0102-77863540081
Indigenous content off
Field of Research 0401 Atmospheric Sciences
HERDC Research category C1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal
Free to Read? Yes
Persistent URL http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30151397

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Every reasonable effort has been made to ensure that permission has been obtained for items included in DRO. If you believe that your rights have been infringed by this repository, please contact drosupport@deakin.edu.au.